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Member Research & Reports

Member Research & Reports

Georgia State: Gerardo Chowell Forecasts Novel Coronavirus Incidents Using Mathematical Epidemiology

Georgia State University School of Public Health professor Dr. Gerardo Chowell, a faculty member of the university’s Second Century Initiative (2CI), predecessor to the Next Generation Program, has been quoted in local media regarding novel coronavirus during the COVID-19 pandemic and is creating updated coronavirus incidence forecasts.

The site at features 10-day forecasts of the weekly incidence trend of COVID-19 globally. Updated forecasts of Iran, Italy and South Korea are published daily at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

Updated forecasts of cases in China and Singapore are published every Thursday at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

Dr. Chowell was interviewed by various media outlets about the pandemic, and article links are located at the bottom of the coronavirus incidence forecast page at

He is a professor of mathematical epidemiology and chair of the Department of Population Health Sciences.

He also holds an external affiliation as a Senior Research Fellow at the Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies at the Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health.

Before joining Georgia State University’s School of Public Health, Dr. Chowell was an associate professor in the School of Human Evolution and Social Change at Arizona State University. He came to Georgia State under 2CI’s fourth round.

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