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Member Research & Reports

Member Research & Reports

Johns Hopkins: New Tool Estimates Looming Risk of Kidney Failure in People with Kidney Disease

An online tool combining results of common medical tests can accurately estimate the risk of whether someone with chronic kidney disease will develop kidney failure in the next two to five years, an international team of researchers led by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health has found.

Reporting in the January 12 Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), the researchers say the new calculator will not only help patients at high risk for kidney failure prepare for dialysis or transplant, but could provide peace of mind to millions more who have chronic kidney disease but are not at serious risk of kidney failure.

Researchers estimate that 10 percent of the U.S. population – more than 20 million people – has kidney disease and more than 660,000 people have kidney failure requiring either dialysis to mechanically clean the blood or a kidney transplant. In 2013, 117,000 patients developed kidney failure, meaning that approximately 1 percent of those with chronic kidney disease develop kidney failure every two years.

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