Demand for registered nurses (RNs) in New York is expected to grow between 2015 and 2025, especially in long-term care settings, according to a recent report by the University at Albany’s Center for Health Workforce Studies (CHWS).
The report, The Future of the Registered Nursing Workforce in New York: State-Level Projections, 2015-20125, finds that RNs is the single largest licensed health profession in the state (more than 288,000). Currently, a relative balance exists between the state’s nursing supply and demand, and if nursing training and retirement patterns remain the same, the supply of RNs should continue to meet that demand in the future.
However, CHWS Director Dr. Jean Moore said, “The impact of health reform on future demand for RNs is unclear and the current balance between the nursing supply and demand could change.”
A closer look at demand for RNs by setting shows that the utilization of health care is changing. The population of New York is growing older, and this is expected to impact the demand for RNs, particularly in long-term care settings. Health reform initiatives in the state will also impact the demand for RNs. If the current Delivery System Reform Incentive Payment (DSRIP) program succeeds in substantially reducing avoidable hospitalizations, a shift in the demand for RNs from hospital inpatient settings to ambulatory care settings could result.
The report examines the future nursing supply and demand in New York State based on the same projection model used by the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), but with more detailed data on the state’s RNs. The report models different supply scenarios and assesses impacts of New York health reform initiatives on future demand for RNs in the state.
To view the full report, visit the CHWS website.